Numbers Don't Lie
Arvind Singh
| 17-11-2025
· News team
Hey Lykkers! Ever feel like you're making business decisions in the dark? You weigh options, trust your gut, and hope for the best. What if you could flip on a light switch and see exactly which path leads to success?
Welcome to data-driven decision making - where numbers replace guesswork and confidence replaces uncertainty. Let's explore how you can make your business choices smarter and more reliable.

Why Your Gut Isn't Enough Anymore

We've all been there - that "feeling" that a certain product will sell well, or that instinct that a marketing approach will work. While intuition has its place, relying on it alone is like driving with a foggy windshield.
When data can help validate a potential course of action before committing, it reduces the risks substantially. But to get meaningful conclusions from data, decision makers need to be able to form hypotheses about relationships between variables and test them. Staying open to ideas ideas that conflict with our own, asking good questions, and actively listen to others — Harvard Business Publishing, Perspectives on Decision Making.

The Three Numbers Every Business Should Watch

You don't need to track hundreds of metrics. Start with these three essential numbers:
1. Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) - How much you spend to get each new customer
2. Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) - How much revenue each customer generates over time
3. Conversion Rate - What percentage of prospects become paying customers
When you know these numbers, decisions become clearer. Should you run that Facebook ad? Check if the cost per click aligns with your CAC. Should you improve your product? See if it increases your LTV.

How Data Beats Guesswork

Leaders need to make data-driven decisions, take risks, and lead by example — Douglas A. Ready, MIT Sloan Management Review.

Your Simple 3-Step Data Routine

Getting started is easier than you think:
1. Track consistently - Pick 3-5 key metrics and monitor them weekly
2. Ask "why" - When numbers change, investigate the reasons
3. Test everything - Try small experiments and measure results

Common Traps to Avoid

Data is powerful, but it's not perfect. Watch out for these pitfalls:
- Don't ignore qualitative feedback (customer conversations matter too!)
- Avoid "analysis paralysis" - sometimes you still need to make quick decisions
- Remember that correlation doesn't equal causation - just because two things happen together doesn't mean one caused the other

The Bottom Line

Lykkers, moving from guesswork to data-driven decisions doesn't require a data science degree. It starts with paying attention to the numbers already available to you and being curious about what they're telling you.
As you build this habit, you'll find yourself making choices with more confidence, wasting less money on what doesn't work, and discovering opportunities you might have otherwise missed.
The numbers are waiting to talk to you - are you ready to listen?
What's one business decision you're currently facing where data could help? Share it with our community - we might be able to suggest what numbers to look at!